If You Want To Elect A Ppresident 2020

The race for POTUS means getting 270 or more electoral votes in however many states necessary.  I'm not sure how many candidates will end up on the ballot for the general election in November but the most important thing will be to win a majority  the electoral college.

Arizona (11), Florida (29),  Maine(4), Michigan(16), Minnesota(10), New Hampshire(4), North Carolina(15), Ohio(18), Pennsylvania(20), and Wisconsin(10) and their electoral votes have been identified as "battleground states in the race for the Presidency.  Along with these states you might add Iowa and Georgia.

It's going to be all about the turn out.  More specifically about who turns out to vote.  The country is fairly evenly divided ideologically between conservatives, moderates, and liberals according to a 2018 Gallop Poll. 

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Americans' assessment of their political ideology was unchanged in 2018 compared with the year prior when 35% on average described themselves as conservative, 35% as moderate and 26% as liberal.

Americans' Political Ideology by Subgroup, 2018

Ranked by net conservative

	Conservative	Moderate	Liberal	Net conservative
	%	%	%
Republicans	73	22	4	+69
65 and older	43	30	22	+21
Men	40	35	21	+19
Age 50 to 64	41	32	23	+18
South	39	34	21	+18
No college	38	35	21	+17
White (Non-Hispanic)	39	33	24	+15
Some college	37	36	24	+13
Midwest	36	35	25	+11
$30,000 to $74,999	36	36	26	+10
U.S. ADULTS	35	35	26	+9
$75,000 or more	35	35	28	+7
Less than $30,000	32	36	26	+6
Independents	28	45	22	+6
West	31	35	29	+2
College graduate only	33	34	31	+2
Hispanic	29	37	29	0
Women	30	35	30	0
Age 30 to 49	29	37	30	-1
East	30	35	31	-1
Age 18 to 29	26	40	30	-4
Black (Non-Hispanic)	22	41	31	-9
Postgraduate education	23	37	38	-15
Democrats	13	34	51	-38
Net conservative = % conservative minus % liberal. Based on annual averages for 2018.
Gallup

Polling by ideology seems fairly stable, turnout can be much more volatile and subject to political issues and or the voting systems in each state like the ease of registration, early voting rules and access to polling places.